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Climate Change Risk Management

Strategic and financial consulting - Analysis of climate change impact on the wind resource and energy production for Developers and Asset Managers

Statistical analysis and application to IPCC RCP scenarios


Climate change will have an impact on the wind resource. Some sites that are currently windy will be wind-poor in the future, while others will see their wind potential significantly increase. The objective is to reduce the financial risk and increase the return on investment of wind farms for Developers and Asset Managers.

This tailored service, based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) climate projections, and applied to wind power is a strategic decision-making tool for any bank investor or asset manager:

  • Reduce the risks of wind farms lifecycles due to climate change,
  • Identify the best locations for new asset investments,
  • Estimate the potential of a wind farm repowering.


Meteodyn experts are available to answer questions related to your specific project.

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The projections

Financial Risk Management (FRM) for onshore / offshore wind resource

The study of climate change effects on wind intensity and variability anywhere in the world.

  • LEVEL 1

    Monthly trend of mean-ensemble-model wind speed between a future horizon and a historical reference period, according to different climate scenarios: mean, median, 10th and 90th percentiles.
  • LEVEL 2

    Maps of mean-ensemble-model wind speed tendency with respect to the reference period according to different climate scenarios: mean, median, 10th and 90th percentiles.
  • LEVEL 3

    Advanced wind analysis: Weibull distribution shift and wind roses between future and historical periods.

Financial Risk Management (FRM) of wind power generation

Projections of the future wind power generation, under different RCP climate scenarios through the transposition of wind resource projections.

  • LEVEL 1

    Monthly trend of wind power production between future and historical periods according to different climate scenarios
  • LEVEL 2

    Maps of wind power production tendency with respect to the reference period according to different climate scenarios

 

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The method

1

Regional downscaled climate projections (10-50 km) from global climate models (100-300 km).

 

2

Analysis of statistical data based on the RCP scenarios.

 

 

3

Comparison of maps and graphs to determine the best siting areas.

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